Quantitative easing (QE) is supposed to stimulate the economy
by adding money to the money supply, increasing demand. But so far, it
hasn’t been working. Why not? Because as practiced for the last two
decades, QE does not actually increase the circulating money supply. It
merely cleans up the toxic balance sheets of banks. A real “helicopter
drop” that puts money into the pockets of consumers and businesses has
not yet been tried. Why not? Another good question . . ..
When Ben Bernanke gave his famous helicopter money speech to the
Japanese in 2002, h
e was not yet chairman of the Federal Reserve. He
said then that the government could easily reverse a deflation, just by
printing money and dropping it from helicopters. “The U.S. government
has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic
equivalent),” he said, “that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars
as it wishes at essentially no cost.” Later in the speech he discussed
“a money-financed tax cut,” which he said was “essentially equivalent to
Milton Friedman’s famous ‘helicopter drop’ of money.” Deflation could
be cured, said Professor Friedman, simply by dropping money from
helicopters.
It seemed logical enough. If the money supply were insufficient for
the needs of trade, the solution was to add money to it. Most of the
circulating money supply consists of “bank credit” created by banks when
they make loans. When old loans are paid off faster than new loans are
taken out (as is happening today), the money supply shrinks. The purpose
of QE is to reverse this contraction.
But if debt deflation is so easy to fix, then why have the Fed’s
massive attempts to pull this maneuver off failed to revive the economy?
And why is Japan still suffering from deflation after 20 years of
quantitative easing?
On a technical level, the answer has to do with where the money goes.
The widespread belief that QE is flooding the economy with money is a
myth. Virtually all of the money it creates simply sits in the reserve
accounts of banks.
That is the technical answer, but the motive behind it may be something deeper . . . .
An Asset Swap Is Not a Helicopter Drop
As QE is practiced today, the money created on a computer screen
never makes it into the real, producing economy. It goes directly into
bank reserve accounts, and it stays there. Except for the small amount
of “vault cash” available for withdrawal from commercial banks, bank
reserves do not leave the doors of the central bank. MORE
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